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North Macedonia vs Switzerland: Nations League AI prediction and betting pick
On 26 September, North Macedonia host Switzerland in the Nations League. The AI models' pick is Switzerland −1.5 handicap at 2.10: 9 of 17 models chose it, 7 more went in the same direction.
- Referee: Daniel Schlager
- Nations League, matchday 1 of 6
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Switzerland −1.5 handicap
2.10AI models' pick · 9 of 17 on this bet · 7 more in the same direction
AI models' settled picks so far: 3 won · 3 lost · −0.93 units All results
AI models
- 9H2 (-1.5) — matches our betodds 2.10ChatGPT, DeepSeek, Gemini, Grok, Kimi, GLM, MiniMax, Mistral, Dots3-Note

- 6H2 (-1) — matches our betodds 1.60Qwen, DeepSeek Flash, Sonar, Xiaomi MiMo, Ling 3.0 Flash VL, Nemotron Ultra


- 12 — matches our betodds 1.38Nemotron Super
- 1BTTS noodds 1.76Claude
Match odds
Over 4 days a North Macedonia win drifted from 7.52 to 7.98 — fewer bets on the home side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Switzerland −1.5: 2.10 → 2.11 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: North Macedonia +1.5 1.70 → 1.71, Switzerland −1.5 2.10 → 2.11.
Price changes
| When | North Macedonia +1.5 | Switzerland −1.5 · our bet |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 | 2.11−0.01 | |
| 1.71−0.01 | 2.12+0.01 | |
| 1.72+0.02 | 2.11−0.02 | |
| We published Switzerland −1.5 handicap at 2.10 | ||
| 1.70−0.01 | 2.13+0.04 | |
| 22 Sep – 24 Sep · no snapshots for 2 days | ||
| 1.71+0.01 | 2.09−0.01 | |
| 1.70opened | 2.10opened | |
All snapshots (30)
| When | North Macedonia +1.5 | Switzerland −1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 | 2.11 | |
| 1.71 | 2.11 | |
| 1.71 | 2.11 | |
| 1.71 | 2.11 | |
| 1.71 | 2.11 | |
| 1.71 | 2.11 | |
| 1.71 | 2.12 | |
| 1.71 | 2.12 | |
| 1.72 | 2.11 | |
| 1.70 | 2.13 | |
| 1.70 | 2.13 | |
| 1.70 | 2.13 | |
| 1.70 | 2.13 | |
| 1.70 | 2.13 | |
| 1.70 | 2.13 | |
| 1.70 | 2.13 | |
| 1.70 | 2.13 | |
| 1.70 | 2.13 | |
| 1.70 | 2.13 | |
| 1.70 | 2.13 | |
| 1.70 | 2.13 | |
| 1.70 | 2.13 | |
| 1.70 | 2.13 | |
| 1.71 | 2.09 | |
| 1.71 | 2.09 | |
| 1.70 | 2.10 | |
| 1.70 | 2.10 | |
| 1.70 | 2.10 | |
| 1.70 | 2.10 | |
| 1.70 | 2.10 |
AI prediction and analysis
9 of 17 AI models went for Switzerland −1.5. 7 more chose close bets in the same direction: Switzerland −1 and a Switzerland win. One more went for at least one side failing to score.
- 9 of 17H2 (-1.5)our betodds 2.10ChatGPTDeepSeek
Gemini
GrokKimi
GLMMiniMaxMistral
Dots3-Note - 6 of 17H2 (-1)same directionodds 1.60QwenDeepSeek Flash
SonarXiaomi MiMo
Ling 3.0 Flash VLNemotron Ultra - 1 of 172same directionodds 1.38Nemotron Super
- 1 of 17BTTS noodds 1.76Claude
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 24.09 at 09:24 UTC
North Macedonia have been beaten by a wide margin in their recent competitive games and have barely scored. Switzerland arrive after the World Cup and are far better equipped in attack. The prices say the same thing: 1.37 on the Nati against 7.52 on the hosts, a gap of almost six times over, with the visitors given around 68% in normal time.
A win by two or more goals — which is what the -1.5 handicap needs — is rated at 45%, almost half of the scenarios on the night. That is our pick at 2.10.
The doubt is whether Switzerland go through the opening round at half pace, short of their usual intensity after a long break. At home North Macedonia will almost certainly sit deep and play to keep the score down, and prising open a block like that twice in one evening does not always come off. A one-goal win would not be enough to land the bet.
Where we could be wrong
Nothing in our data argues against this bet: neither the vote split nor any estimate on this page points to a different outcome.
Bottom line. Our pick: Switzerland −1.5 handicap.
The bet is the option the AI models named most often; the bookmakers' line sits alongside for comparison and plays no part in the choice — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.06 | Turkeyfriendly | A | 0:4 | L |
| 29.05 | Bosnia and Herzegovinafriendly | A | 0:0 | D |
| 31.03 | Republic of Irelandfriendly | A | 0:0 | D |
| 26.03 | DenmarkWorld Cup qualifying | A | 0:4 | L |
| 18.11 | WalesWorld Cup qualifying | A | 1:7xG 0.6–4.6 | L |
| 13.11 | Latviafriendly | H | 0:0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.07 | ArgentinaWorld Cup | A | 1:3xG 0.5–1.9 | L |
| 07.07 | ColombiaWorld Cup | H | 0:0xG 0.4–1.1 | W |
| 03.07 | AlgeriaWorld Cup | H | 2:0xG 2.6–0.7 | W |
| 24.06 | CanadaWorld Cup | H | 2:1xG 1.1–1.7 | W |
| 18.06 | Bosnia and HerzegovinaWorld Cup | H | 4:1xG 2.1–0.2 | W |
| 13.06 | QatarWorld Cup | A | 1:1xG 3.2–0.6 | D |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0-0-0 | 0–0 | 0 | |
| 2 | Switzerland | 0 | 0-0-0 | 0–0 | 0 | |
| 3 | Slovenia | 0 | 0-0-0 | 0–0 | 0 | |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0-0-0 | 0–0 | 0 |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right