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Austria vs Israel 3:1: Nations League result and odds

Austria vs Israel finished 3:1 in the Nations League. Before the match we gathered the line of 9 bookmakers and the bets of 15 AI models — below are the analysis, the odds and how the prediction did.

Referee: Georgi Nikolov Kabakov
Nations League, matchday 1 of 6

published 21.09 at 20:13 · updated 24.09 at 22:00 UTC

AI models' pick: Both teams to score

1.76

AI models' pick · 8 of 15 for this bet, 7 for others

AI models' settled picks so far: 3 won · 3 lost · −0.93 units All results

won+0.76 units

what these numbers mean

won / lost: The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.

Why this bet All odds

AI models

8BTTSodds 1.76ChatGPT, DeepSeek, Gemini, Kimi, DeepSeek Flash, GLM, Mistral, Xiaomi MiMo
3H1 (-1)odds 1.57Grok, Sonar, Ling 3.0 Flash VL
2O 2.5odds 1.53Qwen, Nemotron Ultra
2O 3odds 1.88Claude, MiniMax

all 15 AI predictions

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 24.09 18:18

result11.450.09X4.620.2326.370.87

total 2.5O1.53U2.39

both to scoreyes1.670.09no2.080.11

double chance1X1.110.02121.170.01X22.700.31

handicapH1 −1.52.260.22H2 +1.51.640.12

Over 3 days a Israel win shortened from 7.24 to 6.37 — money is coming in on the away side.

abbreviations

1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
O/U — over/under total goals
H1/H2 — home/away handicap
1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw

Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.76 → 1.67 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has shortened from 1.76 to 1.67: the market now rates it as more likely.

Yes1.76 → 1.67our betNo1.97 → 2.08

Price changes

Price changes in the Both to score market
When	Yes · our bet	No
24 Sep · 18:18	1.67−0.02	2.08+0.01
24 Sep · 15:20	1.69+0.05	2.07−0.07
24 Sep · 09:20	1.64−0.02	2.14+0.03
24 Sep · 08:03	1.66−0.03	2.11+0.06
22 Sep – 24 Sep · no snapshots for 2 days
22 Sep · 03:20	1.69−0.07	2.05+0.08
21 Sep · 20:13	We published both teams score at 1.76
21 Sep · 16:36	1.76opened	1.97opened

19 snapshots · the prices changed 5 times

All snapshots (19)

Odds in the Both to score market, every snapshot
When	Yes	No
24 Sep · 18:18	1.67	2.08
24 Sep · 17:10	1.69	2.07
24 Sep · 16:10	1.69	2.07
24 Sep · 15:20	1.69	2.07
24 Sep · 14:10	1.64	2.14
24 Sep · 13:10	1.64	2.14
24 Sep · 12:10	1.64	2.14
24 Sep · 11:10	1.64	2.14
24 Sep · 10:10	1.64	2.14
24 Sep · 09:20	1.64	2.14
24 Sep · 08:10	1.66	2.11
24 Sep · 08:03	1.66	2.11
22 Sep · 08:10	1.69	2.05
22 Sep · 03:20	1.69	2.05
21 Sep · 21:20	1.76	1.97
21 Sep · 20:10	1.76	1.97
21 Sep · 19:10	1.76	1.97
21 Sep · 18:18	1.76	1.97
21 Sep · 16:36	1.76	1.97

How the match went

half-time 1:0

match report · 24.09 22:00

26'Xaver Schlager YC
31'Eilel Peretz YC
36'on Sasa Kalajdzic, off Michael Gregoritsch
43'Romano Schmid penalty1:0
45'on Paul Wanner, off Marco Grüll
51'Kevin Danso YC
51'Sayd Abu Farhi YC
55'Sayd Abu Farhi1:1
56'Sayd Abu Farhi RC
64'Patrick Wimmer YC
64'on Yarin Levi, off Dor Peretz
64'on Raz Shlomo, off guy mizrahi
73'on Christoph Lang, off Patrick Wimmer
73'on Sascha Horvath, off Nicolas Seiwald
73'on Dor Turgeman, off Manor Solomon
82'on Carney Chukwuemeka, off Romano Schmid
85'on Eli Dasa, off Eilel Peretz
85'on Liel Abada, off Oscar Gloukh
90'Daniel Peretz YC
90'Phillipp Mwene (Paul Wanner)2:1
90+3'Sasa Kalajdzic (Christoph Lang)3:1

Match stats: Austria vs Israel
Austria	stat	Israel
19	shots	5
9	on target	1
51%	possession	49%
4	corners	2
15	fouls	4
0	saves	6
3	yellow cards	2
0	red cards	1

what these numbers mean

feed rating: The player's match rating from the statistics provider API-Football — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Austria

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager R. Rangnick

starting XIfeed rating

1A. Schlager6.7

16P. Mwene7.6
3K. Danso6.5
15P. Lienhart6.9
5S. Posch6.3

6N. Seiwald6.6
4X. Schlager7.2

19M. Grüll6.2
18R. Schmid — highest feed rating in the match7.8
21P. Wimmer6.3

11M. Gregoritsch6.5

substitutes

2D. Affengruber
8J. Adamu
17C. Chukwuemekaon 82'6.4
23M. Friedl
20S. Horvathon 73'6.2
13L. Jungwirth
9S. Kalajdzicon 36'7.8
7C. Langon 73'6.1
22A. Prass
14N. Veratschnig
10P. Wanneron 45'7.3
12F. Wiegele

Israel

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager R. Ben Shimon

starting XIfeed rating

1Daniel Peretz6.8

3R. Revivo5.8
13N. Stoioanov6.0
5I. Nachmias6.5
14G. Mizrahi5.9

15E. Peretz6.3
8Dor Peretz5.8

10M. Solomon5.9
11O. Gloukh6.2
17A. Khalaili6.1

22S. Farhi6.9

substitutes

9T. Baribo
6Y. Levion 64'5.7
23A. Tzur
19D. Turgemanon 73'6.0
21I. Toklomati Giorno
7Y. Shua
4R. Shlomoon 64'5.5
18O. Glazer
16I. Feingold
2E. Dasaon 85'6.0
20L. Abadaon 85'6.2
12N. Sztejfman

8 of 15 AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet won. 3 more bet on Austria −1 — the bet won. The other 4 chose other bets: total-goals bets. 3 bet on the match result and 12 on goals.

8 of 15BTTSour betodds 1.76ChatGPTDeepSeekGeminiKimiDeepSeek FlashGLMMistralXiaomi MiMowon
3 of 15H1 (-1)odds 1.57GrokSonarLing 3.0 Flash VLwon
2 of 15O 2.5odds 1.53QwenNemotron Ultrawon
2 of 15O 3odds 1.88ClaudeMiniMaxwon

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 21.09 at 20:13 UTC

The last four meetings between these sides tell one story: nobody keeps a clean sheet. Both teams scored every time, and the scorelines were big — Austria won 4-2 and 3-1, Israel won 5-2 and 4-2. Not one of those games produced fewer than four goals. For this Nations League tie the market makes Austria a strong favourite and rates Israel at 13%, yet the chance of both teams scoring is put at 53%.

The other side of it is timing. All four came in 2019 and 2021, and almost five years have passed since the last one. Will Israel find an answer away from home if Austria control possession and the game? We're backing both teams to score at 1.76.

Where we could be wrong

Nothing in our data argues against this bet: neither the vote split nor any estimate on this page points to a different outcome.

Bottom line. Our pick: both teams to score.

The bet is the option the AI models named most often; the bookmakers' line sits alongside for comparison and plays no part in the choice — how we calculate

Written automatically by kickscore.ai · published 21 September 2026 · updated 24 September 2026 · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches
Head to head
League table

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first

Austria

Recent matches: Austria
Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
02.07	SpainWorld Cup	A	0:3xG 0.3–2.8	L
28.06	AlgeriaWorld Cup	A	3:3xG 1.4–1.6	D
22.06	ArgentinaWorld Cup	A	0:2xG 0.5–2.4	L
17.06	JordanWorld Cup	H	3:1xG 1.7–1.1	W
11.06	Guatemalafriendly	H	—
01.06	Tunisiafriendly	H	1:0	W

Israel

Recent matches: Israel
Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
03.06	Albaniafriendly	A	1:0	W
26.03	Georgiafriendly	A	2:2	D
16.11	MoldovaWorld Cup qualifying	H	4:1xG 4.4–0.3	W
13.11	Lithuaniafriendly	A	0:0	D
14.10	ItalyWorld Cup qualifying	A	0:3xG 0.4–3.3	L
11.10	NorwayWorld Cup qualifying	A	0:5xG 0.2–2.5	L

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Head to head

last 4

2–0–2Austria wins · draws · Israel wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
Match	Score	Date	Competition
Austria vs Israel	4:2	12.11.21	World Cup qualifying
Israel vs Austria	5:2	04.09.21	World Cup qualifying
Austria vs Israel	3:1	10.10.19	Euro
Israel vs Austria	4:2	24.03.19	Euro

both scored in 4 of the last 4 meetings
over 2.5 goals — in 4 of 4

League table

League B, Group 3

League standings: Nations League
#	Team	W-D-L	GF–GA
1	Israel	0-0-0	0–0
2	Austria	0-0-0	0–0
3	Republic of Ireland	0-0-0	0–0

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right