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Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming 1:2: result and AI prediction
Natus Vincere and LGD Gaming played on 24 September — playoffs, upper bracket quarter-final, PGL Wallachia Season 9 2026: the series ended 1:2. The AI models' bet: Natus Vincere -1.5 map handicap at 2.44 — 12 of 14 models chose it; the bet lost. Below: the analysis, the pre-match odds, the maps of the series, team form and rosters.
- PGL Wallachia Season 9 2026
- Playoffs, upper bracket quarter-final
- Best of three
- Stream
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Natus Vincere -1.5 map handicap
2.44AI models' pick · 12 of 14 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction
AI models
- 12H1 (-1.5)odds 2.44ChatGPT, Claude, DeepSeek, Gemini, Grok, Kimi, Qwen, DeepSeek Flash, MiniMax, Mistral, Xiaomi MiMo, Nemotron Super
- 11odds 1.44GLM
- 1U 2.5odds 1.77Sonar
What the odds were
Since the first snapshot, the series-winner line has not moved.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — Natus Vincere or LGD Gaming wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
How the series went
- map 1LGD Gaming34 min
- map 2Natus Vincere32 min
- map 3LGD Gaming55 min
AI prediction and analysis
12 of 14 AI models bet on Natus Vincere −1.5 on maps — the bet lost. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: a Natus Vincere win. One more bet on under 2.5 maps.
- 12 of 14H1 (-1.5)our betodds 2.44ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekGeminiGrokKimiQwenDeepSeek FlashMiniMaxMistralXiaomi MiMoNemotron Superlost
- 1 of 141same directionodds 1.44GLMlost
- 1 of 14U 2.5odds 1.77Sonarlost
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Natus Vincere have been rolling out the same five since 2 April — Niku, pma, Riddys, daze and gotthejuice — and two months of maps back that up: 30-4, with nine wins from the last ten series, among them 2-0 results against Aurora Gaming and Hokori. LGD Gaming only put their roster together on 19 September, with four new faces in SumaiL-, Davai, Sneyking and Wits, and their map balance over 60 days is in the red at 15-18.
The gap shows in the clock too. Natus Vincere average 36 minutes a map against 46 for their opponents, and that habit of closing games out fast, without letting the series drag, is what makes our pick work in a Dota 2 match played to two wins: Natus Vincere on the -1.5 map handicap at odds of 2.44.
The one risk is a real one. The only head-to-head series in two years went to LGD Gaming, who won 2-1 in June, and a new line-up is perfectly capable of producing one strong draft without much practice behind it. A single map taken is enough to send the handicap bet down.
Where we could be wrong
- One of the teams has three or more newcomers in its five: a new roster has little history, and form from previous weeks says less about it than usual.
Form, rosters and heroes
Natus Vincere
roster
Niku, pma, Riddys, daze, gotthejuice — together since 2 April
recent series · 9 wins, 1 loss
- W2-11wPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 922.09
- L0-2Team YandexPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 921.09
- W2-0Aurora GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 920.09
- W2-0HokoriPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 919.09
- W2-0Pipsqueak + 4RES Unchained - A Blast Dota Slam IX Qualifier EU13.09
- W2-0Zero TenacityRES Unchained - A Blast Dota Slam IX Qualifier EU12.09
- W3-0Klim Sani4EPL Masters 2026 10.09
- W2-1Klim Sani4EPL Masters 2026 08.09
- W2-0_PowerRangersEPL Masters 2026 07.09
- W2-0MOUZRES Unchained - A Blast Dota Slam VIII Qualifier EU30.08
maps in the last 60 days
30–4, average length 36 min; Radiant 10–2, Dire 20–2
1 day since the last series, 9 maps this week
most-played heroes, 60 days · games / wins
- Mirana12 / 11
- Hoodwink12 / 10
- Kez11 / 10
- Ember Spirit11 / 10
- Axe9 / 7
- Witch Doctor8 / 8
- Bane8 / 7
- Underlord7 / 7
LGD Gaming
roster
Thiolicor, SumaiL-, Davai, Sneyking, Wits — together since 19 September
New in the five: SumaiL-, Davai, Sneyking, Wits
Left the starting five: KingJungles, Yuma, Wisper, Topson, TaiLung
recent series · 6 wins, 4 losses
- W2-0MOUZPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 923.09
- L0-2Aurora GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 922.09
- L0-2Xtreme GamingPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 921.09
- W2-0GamerLegionPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 920.09
- W2-1Yakult BrothersPGL Wallachia 2026 Season 919.09
- L1-2Team YandexThe International 202616.08
- W2-0Vici GamingThe International 202615.08
- W2-1Xtreme GamingThe International 202615.08
- L0-2Nigma Galaxy The International 202614.08
- W2-1Team ResilienceThe International 202613.08
maps in the last 60 days
15–18, average length 46 min; Radiant 9–8, Dire 6–10
0 days since the last series, 11 maps this week
most-played heroes, 60 days · games / wins
- Dark Willow10 / 4
- Mirana7 / 5
- Windranger7 / 4
- Hoodwink7 / 4
- Lone Druid6 / 3
- Necrophos6 / 2
- Centaur Warrunner5 / 4
- Axe5 / 3
head-to-head series, last two years
1 series: Natus Vincere 0 wins, LGD Gaming 1 win
- L1-2Natus Vincere vs LGD GamingRoad To EWC 2026 Regional Qualifiers02.06
